Port Vale vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 0
POR
32%
28%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
FLE
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WRE
1 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 0
WRE
14%
18%
68%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
WRE
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WRE
0 - 0
HUR
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 1
WRE
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |