Port Vale vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WYC
2 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
POR
3 - 3
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
LUT
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
0 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
PLY
0 - 0
WRE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
WRE
3 - 2
SWI
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
QPR
2 - 0
WRE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
POS
6 - 1
WRE
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |