Port Vale vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
POR
2 - 1
WBA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 2
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1989 |
BRA
2 - 2
POR
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
POR
1 - 3
NOR
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 2
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
WAL
1 - 3
BAR
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
BBU
3 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
LEE
1 - 0
WAL
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
WAL
2 - 2
SWI
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |