Port Vale vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
QPR
4 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
REA
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
SWI
2 - 2
TRA
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
WBA
2 - 0
SWI
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BOU
0 - 0
SWI
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SWI
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
BCF
0 - 3
SWI
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |