Port Vale vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 3
BUR
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
CRE
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
1 - 2
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
MKD
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 2
AVI
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STA
4 - 1
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 3
SUT
57%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |