Port Vale vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 1
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
SHW
24%
24%
53%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
FLE
1 - 0
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 1
WIG
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUL
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
TRA
0 - 0
SUN
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 4
SUN
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
SUN
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |