Championship Round 38

Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Port Vale Oldham Athletic AFC
63 ELO 63
2.5% Tilt 4%
2489º General ELO ranking 3827º
65º Country ELO ranking 99º
ELO win probability
61%
Port Vale
20.7%
Draw
18.3%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
Port Vale
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.3%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
+16%
+20%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Port Vale
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 1933
POR
Port Vale
2 - 0
Millwall
MIL
54%
24%
22%
63 69 6 0
08 Apr. 1933
PNE
Preston North End
3 - 1
Port Vale
POR
69%
17%
14%
64 69 5 -1
01 Apr. 1933
POR
Port Vale
1 - 1
Burnley
BUR
55%
21%
24%
64 63 1 0
25 Mar. 1933
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Port Vale
POR
71%
16%
14%
64 70 6 0
20 Mar. 1933
POR
Port Vale
4 - 0
Notts County
NOT
51%
24%
26%
62 69 7 +2

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 1933
BUR
Burnley
1 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
65%
19%
16%
62 64 2 0
08 Apr. 1933
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
5 - 0
Notts County
NOT
50%
24%
26%
61 68 7 +1
01 Apr. 1933
SWA
Swansea City
2 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
57%
22%
21%
61 64 3 0
25 Mar. 1933
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 3
Fulham
FUL
53%
23%
25%
62 66 4 -1
18 Mar. 1933
SOU
Southampton
0 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
64%
20%
17%
61 66 5 +1