Port Vale vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
IPS
5 - 1
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BIR
1 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
POR
3 - 0
OXF
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
SHE
2 - 1
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1998 |
MID
1 - 0
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
17%
27%
56%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
MID
4 - 0
BCF
82%
12%
5%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1998 |
SHE
1 - 0
MID
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
WBA
2 - 1
MID
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |