Port Vale vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 1
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
POR
0 - 0
STO
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
KID
0 - 4
BOS
36%
29%
36%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
KID
0 - 1
STF
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
3 - 0
KID
60%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BRO
2 - 0
KID
54%
25%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
KID
3 - 2
SCU
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |