Port Vale vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
WRE
63%
20%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
BRO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
BOU
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 3
POR
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
HAR
2 - 1
DON
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
SCU
1 - 2
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 1
HAR
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 2
BRO
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
HAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |