Port Vale vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
PLY
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 3
AFC
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 0
STA
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 2
BUR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |