Port Vale vs Chester City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
4 - 2
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
POR
1 - 2
WBA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BBU
0 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
BCF
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chester City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
0 - 1
SUN
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 2
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
64%
21%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |