Port Vale vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
BRO
3 - 2
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
YEO
33%
26%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
POR
1 - 3
BOU
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SWA
2 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CUM
2 - 1
WAL
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
OLD
2 - 0
CUM
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 0
CUM
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRE
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
DON
1 - 0
CUM
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |