League Two Round 1

Port Vale vs Barnet analysis

Port Vale Barnet
58 ELO 50
-1.7% Tilt -2.6%
2676º General ELO ranking 2597º
68º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Port Vale
23%
Draw
19.6%
Barnet

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
Port Vale
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
Barnet
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Port Vale
+7%
-7%
Barnet

ELO progression

Port Vale
Barnet
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2012
POR
Port Vale
1 - 3
Burnley
BUR
22%
23%
55%
57 71 14 0
05 May. 2012
POR
Port Vale
3 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
44%
27%
29%
56 58 2 +1
28 Apr. 2012
SWI
Swindon Town
5 - 0
Port Vale
POR
65%
22%
14%
57 66 9 -1
21 Apr. 2012
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
46%
25%
28%
56 55 1 +1
17 Apr. 2012
STF
Shrewsbury Town
1 - 0
Port Vale
POR
60%
24%
16%
56 65 9 0

Matches

Barnet
Barnet
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2012
BIR
Birmingham City
5 - 1
Barnet
BAR
81%
14%
5%
51 80 29 0
26 Jul. 2012
BAR
Barnet
1 - 4
Charlton Athletic
CHA
17%
23%
60%
51 72 21 0
05 May. 2012
BUR
Burton Albion
1 - 2
Barnet
BAR
46%
24%
30%
50 49 1 +1
28 Apr. 2012
BAR
Barnet
4 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
36%
26%
38%
49 54 5 +1
20 Apr. 2012
SOU
Southend United
3 - 0
Barnet
BAR
61%
23%
16%
49 60 11 0