Port Vale vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
SHW
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
DON
2 - 0
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
BPO
0 - 2
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
STO
2 - 2
BOU
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOU
60%
21%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HUR
3 - 2
BOU
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
1 - 1
SHW
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHE
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |