Port Talbot Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Talbot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
WEL
0 - 0
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
POR
4 - 0
LLA
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 2
POR
72%
17%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LID
0 - 1
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
CON
3 - 4
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |