Port Melbourne Sharks vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
9º
5º
40
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 5
POR
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
NGW
87%
10%
4%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
AVH
1 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 2
POR
19%
20%
60%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
HUM
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
BEN
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
OAK
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 1
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
HEU
1 - 0
GRE
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |