Porfido Albiano vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porfido Albiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VIR
3 - 0
APA
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
APA
1 - 5
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
APA
1 - 1
DMG
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MZN
0 - 1
APA
63%
21%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
APA
1 - 1
JES
20%
24%
57%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACE
2 - 2
ABM
65%
20%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
0 - 1
ACE
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAM
2 - 4
ACE
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ACE
2 - 0
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ACE
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |