Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 12

Poole Town vs Hartley Wintney analysis

Poole Town Hartley Wintney
43 ELO 31
-4.3% Tilt -6.1%
5301º General ELO ranking 9707º
230º Country ELO ranking 565º
ELO win probability
68.6%
Poole Town
19.2%
Draw
12.2%
Hartley Wintney

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
Poole Town
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.2%
Win probability
Hartley Wintney
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poole Town
-40%
-28%
Hartley Wintney

ELO progression

Poole Town
Hartley Wintney
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poole Town
Poole Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Dec. 2020
MAI
Maidstone United
2 - 0
Poole Town
POO
42%
24%
33%
44 42 2 0
08 Dec. 2020
POO
Poole Town
3 - 1
Willand Rovers
WIL
71%
17%
13%
43 24 19 +1
31 Oct. 2020
HAR
Hartley Wintney
1 - 4
Poole Town
POO
25%
24%
51%
43 32 11 0
27 Oct. 2020
POO
Poole Town
1 - 0
Gosport Borough
GOS
66%
21%
14%
42 34 8 +1
24 Oct. 2020
YAT
Yate Town
2 - 6
Poole Town
POO
22%
23%
55%
42 26 16 0

Matches

Hartley Wintney
Hartley Wintney
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2020
HAR
Hartley Wintney
1 - 4
Poole Town
POO
25%
24%
51%
32 43 11 0
27 Oct. 2020
HAR
Hartley Wintney
3 - 1
Yate Town
YAT
64%
20%
17%
32 24 8 0
24 Oct. 2020
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
1 - 0
Hartley Wintney
HAR
62%
21%
17%
32 41 9 0
17 Oct. 2020
HAR
Hartley Wintney
0 - 2
Salisbury City
SAL
33%
22%
45%
33 37 4 -1
13 Oct. 2020
HAR
Hartley Wintney
3 - 1
Barking
BAR
53%
23%
25%
32 29 3 +1
X