Pontivy vs Saint-Colomban Locminé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
10º
35
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
5 - 1
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
DOL
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LAT
3 - 1
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PON
2 - 2
LAN
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PON
2 - 4
SBR
44%
23%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Colomban Locminé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
0 - 2
DIN
36%
25%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 0
LOC
52%
21%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOC
3 - 1
CES
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
LOC
27%
24%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LOC
3 - 0
LAN
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |