Pontivy vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
1 - 0
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
PLA
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
PON
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 0
PON
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
LES
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FON
0 - 2
LUC
19%
24%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 7
ROM
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
AVR
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
LUC
19%
24%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |