Pontivy vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
9º
49
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CES
2 - 1
PON
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
AFV
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
FLE
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 1
PON
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PON
1 - 2
USF
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 3
VAN
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
USF
2 - 2
GUI
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 1
PLA
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 3
GUI
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 1
LOR
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |