Pontivy vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
10º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
DIN
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPM
2 - 0
PON
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PON
3 - 0
CES
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
PON
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PON
1 - 1
BRE
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USF
2 - 0
LAT
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USF
0 - 0
LOC
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 1
USF
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USF
4 - 3
PLA
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
USF
0 - 1
AVR
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |