Pontisola vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
OLG
2 - 0
PON
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
PSM
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 0
PON
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PON
0 - 3
PIA
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SON
3 - 2
VAR
16%
20%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 3
BUS
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 0
VAR
47%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
OLG
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |