Pontisola vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PON
4 - 1
DCA
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 1
PON
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
0 - 3
PON
22%
23%
54%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
ROM
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
DCA
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
ROM
85%
10%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |