Paulista A2 Final Stages Final
Global 1-1
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
PPE
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PPE
2 - 0
XVD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 3
PPE
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
PPE
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 1
PPE
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
NOR
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
OES
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OES
0 - 1
NOV
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |