Série B Brazil Round 16

Ponte Preta vs Náutico analysis

Ponte Preta Náutico
70 ELO 70
13.6% Tilt -5.2%
519º General ELO ranking 1384º
35º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
48.1%
Ponte Preta
24.3%
Draw
27.6%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
Ponte Preta
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.5%
Win probability
Náutico
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ponte Preta
-2%
+18%
Náutico

ELO progression

Ponte Preta
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2010
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 1
Ponte Preta
PPE
60%
24%
17%
69 76 7 0
14 Aug. 2010
PPE
Ponte Preta
1 - 0
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
72%
17%
11%
68 58 10 +1
11 Aug. 2010
VIL
Vila Nova
1 - 2
Ponte Preta
PPE
24%
26%
50%
68 53 15 0
04 Aug. 2010
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 0
Santo André
SAN
36%
25%
39%
67 75 8 +1
31 Jul. 2010
BRA
RB Bragantino
0 - 2
Ponte Preta
PPE
49%
25%
26%
66 64 2 +1

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2010
ICA
Icasa
3 - 1
Náutico
NAU
26%
25%
49%
71 60 11 0
20 Aug. 2010
ARN
América RN
0 - 0
Náutico
NAU
24%
23%
53%
71 58 13 0
14 Aug. 2010
NAU
Náutico
1 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
39%
26%
34%
71 76 5 0
11 Aug. 2010
GUA
Guaratinguetá
1 - 0
Náutico
NAU
39%
26%
36%
71 67 4 0
07 Aug. 2010
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
43%
26%
32%
71 74 3 0