Ponte Ourense vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CHO
0 - 0
PON
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PON
1 - 1
CER
18%
26%
56%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BET
1 - 2
PON
64%
22%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PON
2 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ART
2 - 1
PON
76%
17%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ARO
1 - 0
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -11 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 0
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
RAC
4 - 1
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPO
1 - 1
CAY
49%
25%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |