Ourense CF vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
OUR
2 - 2
COX
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ALO
1 - 1
OUR
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
OUR
3 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
UPH
1 - 0
OUR
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
OUR
0 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
NOI
1 - 2
SAR
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 1
NOI
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NOI
4 - 0
LEM
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SOF
0 - 2
NOI
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NOI
0 - 1
BOI
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |