Ourense CF vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OUR
0 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
OUR
34%
26%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
OUR
1 - 1
SIL
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SOM
4 - 2
OUR
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OUR
1 - 0
ALO
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
ARZ
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SOF
2 - 2
ARZ
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 1
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CHO
46%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
ARZ
67%
19%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |