Pontardawe Town vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 0
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LID
0 - 1
PON
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NEA
2 - 0
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BRY
2 - 4
PON
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
PON
1 - 1
LID
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
ERA
2 - 2
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
LID
2 - 1
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
NEA
6 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
TON
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
NWP
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -4 |