Copa del Rey . 1/256
Global 3-2
Ponferradina vs Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
PON
0 - 0
ASP
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CUL
0 - 0
PON
46%
28%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
PON
1 - 0
AVI
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ZAM
2 - 0
PON
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ATB
3 - 1
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
VAL
1 - 1
ZAM
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ZAM
1 - 0
LER
69%
19%
11%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ZAM
2 - 1
AST
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ZAM
2 - 0
PON
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +5 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
CDW
1 - 2
ZAM
51%
25%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |