Ponferradina vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TOM
0 - 0
PON
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
PON
1 - 0
UBC
40%
28%
32%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SSR
0 - 3
PON
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BUR
4 - 1
PON
49%
29%
23%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PON
2 - 1
MAJ
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 0
BUR
42%
30%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MAJ
1 - 3
ZAR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 2
CFP
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RMC
2 - 1
ZAR
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 2
ALC
50%
26%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |