Ponferradina vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SES
2 - 1
PON
27%
29%
45%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PON
0 - 4
RUN
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
LEM
0 - 0
PON
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PON
2 - 1
CFP
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
CUL
1 - 1
PON
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CDG
2 - 2
BUR
27%
31%
42%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CDG
2 - 0
HAR
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
CDG
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CDG
2 - 0
ATH
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +2 |