Ponferradina vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
OVI
0 - 1
PON
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PON
2 - 1
BUR
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CUL
0 - 1
PON
49%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SLA
1 - 1
PON
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PON
4 - 0
ZAL
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 3
ZAM
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
RUN
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 0
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 1
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ATH
1 - 1
AMU
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |