Polop vs Finestrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CAL
2 - 0
POL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
POL
0 - 0
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
JAV
4 - 2
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
THA
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Finestrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 2
JAV
22%
26%
51%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 1
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 2
HER
24%
24%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |