Polonia Warszawa vs Znicz Biała Piska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 1
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
POL
5 - 1
KSL
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
POL
38%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
POL
0 - 2
PGM
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
USK
0 - 1
POL
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Znicz Biała Piska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ZBP
6 - 2
JAG
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ZBP
1 - 6
KSL
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
PGM
1 - 2
ZBP
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ZBP
2 - 2
LWA
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SWI
7 - 1
ZBP
57%
22%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |