Polonia Warszawa vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
POL
4 - 3
USK
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
SWI
2 - 3
POL
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
MKS
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
POL
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
POL
3 - 3
SWI
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UWA
3 - 1
BRA
52%
21%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
USK
4 - 0
UWA
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
UWA
3 - 4
KSL
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
UWA
4 - 4
LTM
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
LWA
1 - 0
UWA
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |