Q. Europa League Ronda Previa. Final
Global 6-0
Polonia Warszawa vs Llansantffraid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
POL
1 - 2
GKS
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
WIS
2 - 2
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
POL
4 - 1
GÓR
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
WIS
4 - 3
POL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
POL
1 - 2
OWD
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Llansantffraid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
HAV
0 - 2
LLA
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
LLA
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 5
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 0
ABE
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 4
LLA
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |