Polonia U20 vs Italia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
4 - 2
TUR
38%
24%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
POL
36%
23%
41%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 1
POL
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
POL
1 - 5
ENG
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
ITA
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
ENG
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 3
GER
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
14%
17%
69%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |