European U17 Championship qualifying Group 4 Round 1

Polonia U17 vs España U17 analysis

Polonia U17 España U17
51 ELO 72
-10.6% Tilt -8.9%
4652º General ELO ranking 2484º
100º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
13.8%
Polonia U17
19.3%
Draw
66.8%
España U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
Polonia U17
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.9%
Win probability
España U17
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Polonia U17
+9%
-15%
España U17

ELO progression

Polonia U17
España U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Polonia U17
Polonia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2012
AZE
Azerbaiyán U17
0 - 1
Polonia U17
POL
27%
25%
48%
51 41 10 0
19 Oct. 2012
POL
Polonia U17
2 - 1
Bulgaria U17
BGR
61%
22%
17%
51 42 9 0
13 May. 2012
GER
Alemania U17
1 - 0
Polonia U17
POL
78%
15%
7%
52 68 16 -1
10 May. 2012
NED
Países Bajos U17
0 - 0
Polonia U17
POL
71%
19%
11%
52 64 12 0
07 May. 2012
SVN
Eslovenia U17
1 - 1
Polonia U17
POL
15%
22%
64%
52 39 13 0

Matches

España U17
España U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2012
ESP
España U17
0 - 1
Bulgaria U17
BGR
86%
10%
4%
72 41 31 0
19 Oct. 2012
ESP
España U17
2 - 0
Azerbaiyán U17
AZE
86%
10%
4%
72 41 31 0
31 Mar. 2012
ENG
Inglaterra U17
0 - 4
España U17
ESP
34%
25%
42%
71 63 8 +1
28 Mar. 2012
ESP
España U17
2 - 2
Ucrania U17
UKR
82%
12%
6%
72 50 22 -1
26 Mar. 2012
ESP
España U17
1 - 1
Georgia U17
GEO
85%
11%
4%
72 45 27 0