Polonia Środa vs Chemik Bydgoszcz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
PSR
2 - 2
WDA
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CIP
4 - 1
PSR
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PSR
0 - 1
DFC
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LTP
1 - 0
PSR
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
RLR
1 - 0
PSR
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chemik Bydgoszcz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
DFC
3 - 0
CBP
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CBP
0 - 3
KPK
14%
22%
64%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
USW
3 - 0
CBP
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CBP
0 - 3
SOK
9%
18%
73%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SBR
3 - 0
CBP
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |