Virtus Matino vs Mariglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 2
AUD
8%
17%
75%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LAV
1 - 0
PVM
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 1
NAR
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
PVM
90%
8%
2%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 1
BIS
16%
20%
65%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 1
CAS
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 0
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
FBC
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIR
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |