Pol. Ciliverghe vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
PSM
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
REG
14%
23%
63%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ASD
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AXY
3 - 3
PSM
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 0
USD
26%
22%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
REG
16%
23%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
AXY
1 - 2
FAN
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
MEZ
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
FAN
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 1
LEN
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |