Pol. Ciliverghe vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
PSM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PSM
1 - 0
INV
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 1
PSM
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 2
GRU
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 2
CIS
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 3
INV
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
VBE
66%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |