Policia SP vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.4%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
89.5%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
4.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.7%
0-5
7.3%
1-6
2.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
10.5%
0-6
4.4%
1-7
1.4%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.9%
0-7
2.2%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.9%
0-8
1%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.3%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
PSP
94%
5%
1%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
4 - 0
PSP
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -15 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
4 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
CPK
6 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PSP
2 - 5
LAI
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
WAK
0 - 0
BEN
11%
15%
75%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
CPK
5 - 1
WAK
48%
20%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +8 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 7
WAK
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
HSA
1 - 12
WAK
33%
20%
47%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 2
WAK
41%
22%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |