Policia SP vs Kei Lun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
1 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
3 - 2
KTM
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 3
SMA
25%
21%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
2 - 7
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 4
LAI
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 12
BEN
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
4 - 1
KLM
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |