Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Kryvbas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
9º
6º
54
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 27 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
48% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZOR
0 - 1
POL
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VOR
0 - 3
POL
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
POL
3 - 2
DYN
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 0
POL
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kryvbas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HKR
3 - 0
SKD
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
HKR
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 0
CHO
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 3
RYV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
HKR
43%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |