Poissy vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
POI
1 - 2
STG
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
4 - 3
POI
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 0
POI
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
POI
0 - 2
VAN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
POI
1 - 2
GRA
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
3 - 1
PLA
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VAN
0 - 0
CAE
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 0
VOL
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAE
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 0
LOR
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |