Pogradeci vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 4
POG
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POG
3 - 1
EGN
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
APO
3 - 2
POG
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
POG
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
POG
0 - 1
TOM
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
APO
1 - 1
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ELB
1 - 2
APO
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
APO
3 - 2
POG
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
APO
0 - 0
BYL
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BES
1 - 0
APO
31%
26%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |